An Angus Reid Poll shows a plurality of Canadian voters prepared to vote for either Pierre Poilievre or Jean Charest as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, but Charest would attract more disaffected Liberal and NDP votes. Both leaders were favored by 34 percent of respondents, But Charest would hold a ten-point advantage over the Liberals, while Poilievre would only have a five-point edge,
The difference comes with Charest appealing to 17 percent of Liberal voters and 10 percent of NDP voters, while Poilievre’s support from these two parties is negligible.
In Ontario Charest would hold a four-point advantage over the Liberals (33%-29%) while Poilievre would be behind the Liberals by three points (30%-33%).
Commenting, Angus Reid noted, “Poilievre receives a larger share of vote intent in the Prairies than Charest, but elections for the Conservatives have been won and lost outside of that stronghold. In Ontario, both earn the vote intent of around one-third of potential voters, putting them near the Liberals. However, Charest garners a larger share of vote intent in Quebec (26%) than does Poilievre (21%).”
The poll also shows that one in five Liberal Voters think it is time for a change.
The Angus Reid Institute conducted this online survey from July 18 – 20, 2022 among a representative randomized sample of 1,606 Canadian adults who are members of Angus Reid Forum. For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding.