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COVID-19 transmission in Hamilton is high and stable.

COVID-19 transmission in Hamilton is high and stable.

The latest COVID statistics updated Wednesday show the number of reported cases, test positivity, wastewater signal, new COVID-19 hospitalizations and ICU admissions have all stabilized over the past 2 weeks.

The number of active outbreaks has decreased over the past 2 weeks.

Omicron continues to be the dominant variant in Hamilton and amongst Ontario public health units. The BA.5 subvariant is the most prevalent lineage.

Over the past 2 weeks, the 7-day average of new cases has stabilized (74 on July 31, 96 on August 7, and 77 on August 14.

The 7-day average of new hospitalizations has stabilized from 2.0 on July 31 down to 1.3 on August 14. ICU Admissions are virtually unchanged–0.0 on July 31and   0.1 on August 14.

The number of active outbreaks has dropped from 30 to 24 over the same two-week period.

The latest Scarsin forecast from August 17 to December 31, 2022, continues to predict that Hamilton’s current 7th COVID-19 wave is likely to greatly increase into the fall.  In the near-term, new hospital admissions of Hamiltonians are predicted to level off and decrease, followed by an increase in the fall and winter as Hamiltonians move indoors and more infectious sub-variants such as BA.5 continue to circulate.  About 347 new hospital admissions of Hamiltonians are predicted from August 17 to December 31, 2022. Hospital admissions by age group are predicted to be about: 24% in those 0-59, 32% in  those 60-79 and 44% in those 80 years and older.

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