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Concern over Seventh wave of COVID in Hamilton

Concern over Seventh wave of COVID in Hamilton

The latest data released by Hamilton Public Health shows COVID-19 transmission in Hamilton is high and continuing to increase.

The number of reported cases, test positivity, wastewater signal, active outbreaks and new COVID-19 hospitalizations have all increased over the past 2 weeks. The only bright spot is that COVID-19 ICU admissions remain stable.

Over the past 2 weeks, the 7-day average of new cases has increased from 65 on July 10, to 94 on July 17, and 98 on July 24. The weekly incidence per 100,000 of new cases has increased from 76 on July 10, to 110 on July 17, and 115 on July 24. The 7-day average of new hospitalizations has increased from 0.9 on July 7, to 1.9 on July 14, and 1.9 on July 21. So far, the 7-day average of new ICU admissions has remained stable at around zero. Test positivity has increased from 15.8% on July 7, to 17.4% on July 14, and 17.8% on July 21.

Omicron continues to be the dominant variant in Hamilton and amongst Ontario public health units. The BA.5 subvariant is now the most prevalent lineage, followed by BA.2.12.1 and BA.4.

The Scarsin forecast has now been updated for July 27 to December 31, 2022 and shows a worst-case scenario of 10 hospitalizations per day with a base prediction of four admissions per day. The forecast does not take into account the possibility of a significant uptake in fourth doses of vaccine.

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